Châtelet vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châtelet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BER
3 - 0
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
OOS
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
DEI
2 - 2
SPO
12%
20%
69%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 0
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VWH
1 - 0
SPO
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 3
DEI
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VWH
0 - 0
EXC
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
HEI
39%
23%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BER
2 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |