Charleroi vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
12º
8º
2
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 50 |
1º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 49 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 46 |
5º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 43 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 43 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 42 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 41 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 41 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 36 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 29 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 28 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
36% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
38.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
ANT
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
LOU
1 - 0
CHA
29%
25%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
STR
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
HIF
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LEU
2 - 2
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 1
LEU
33%
26%
42%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 2
AND
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
STR
2 - 0
DEN
48%
24%
27%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SDL
1 - 1
DEN
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 0
CER
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |