Sporting Central vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 1
SPO
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
BOY
1 - 0
SPO
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
HIG
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 2
SPO
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 1
SAV
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 1
CAV
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
37%
31%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
WAT
3 - 1
BOY
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HIG
0 - 0
WAT
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |