Sporting Celanova vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 0
SPO
70%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALE
3 - 0
SPO
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAR
39%
25%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
4 - 1
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
TOM
67%
20%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 0
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 0
CEL
39%
27%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 1
CHO
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARO
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 1
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |