Sporting Celanova vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 2
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 1
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 3
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHO
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
CRU
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARO
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CHO
5 - 0
TOM
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PON
1 - 2
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |