Sporting Braga vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
LEX
2 - 0
SPB
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VST
3 - 0
SPB
83%
13%
5%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
UFT
1 - 1
SPB
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 4
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 1
VAR
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCP
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 2
FAB
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |