Sporting Braga vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
BOA
0 - 1
SPB
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2007 |
SPB
0 - 0
VST
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 0
BMA
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
FCP
2 - 0
NAC
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
UDL
1 - 0
NAC
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 4
AVE
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |