Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
SPB
0 - 0
ACA
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPB
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
SPB
0 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPB
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SPB
2 - 1
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
UFT
0 - 2
FCP
29%
23%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
SBR
4 - 0
FCP
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ACA
2 - 4
FCP
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |