Sporting Braga vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1987 |
MAR
1 - 1
SPB
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
SPB
2 - 1
VAR
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
SPB
0 - 0
BOA
52%
25%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
SPB
0 - 2
SCP
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1987 |
FAR
2 - 1
SCP
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
BEL
3 - 1
FAR
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
POR
3 - 1
FAR
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
FAR
4 - 0
POR
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAR
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |