Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
SPB
0 - 0
RIO
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
SPB
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 1
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPB
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 2
TOT
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 4
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
TOT
1 - 3
SLB
51%
24%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |