Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
BOA
0 - 0
SPB
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1959 |
SPB
1 - 3
SCP
42%
23%
36%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1959 |
SCP
6 - 2
SPB
81%
12%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPB
61%
19%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
SPB
4 - 0
VIT
66%
17%
17%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
SLB
4 - 1
VST
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1959 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1959 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1959 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
48%
22%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1959 |
SLB
3 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |