Sporting Braga vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
EST
1 - 2
SPB
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SPB
28%
26%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SPB
2 - 0
VST
70%
20%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SPB
4 - 1
OLH
73%
19%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GFC
0 - 3
ARO
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 2
VIT
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 2
ARO
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 2
MAR
28%
26%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VST
1 - 0
ARO
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |