Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPB
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 3
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
UDL
2 - 2
SPB
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPB
2 - 3
SCP
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
SPB
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ACA
3 - 2
PAÇ
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
RIO
3 - 2
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ACA
4 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 0
ACA
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
ACA
2 - 0
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |