Sporting Braga II vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
4º
20
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
LUS
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ARO
0 - 0
BRA
82%
14%
5%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 4
BRA
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
TRO
22%
26%
53%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 2
ALH
17%
21%
62%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
TRO
14%
20%
67%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 1
DUM
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | +1 |