Sporting Ben Arous vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
56.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
11º
8º
58
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ZAR
2 - 0
SPO
71%
21%
8%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
JSO
27%
28%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
FCH
23%
22%
54%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
MED
27%
28%
45%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JSO
2 - 2
EGS
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EGS
3 - 0
STA
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CSH
0 - 0
EGS
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 0
EGS
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LPT
1 - 2
EGS
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |