Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
SPO
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
FFL
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 2
VAS
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SPO
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAO
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 0
NAU
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAN
17%
24%
59%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |