Sport Recife vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
SPO
3 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
GUA
2 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
SPO
2 - 1
TRE
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
SPO
3 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
GUA
2 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1987 |
GUA
0 - 0
INT
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |