Split vs Zagora Unešić analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SPL
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SPL
3 - 1
ZAD
67%
20%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SPL
1 - 0
INT
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IST
1 - 0
SPL
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SPL
3 - 1
HNK
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zagora Unešić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ZAG
3 - 0
NKC
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HRV
0 - 2
ZAG
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ZAG
0 - 2
KAM
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -5 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GOS
0 - 0
ZAG
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
HVB
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |