Split vs Zagora Unešić analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
10%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HJK
2 - 2
SPL
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
SPL
6 - 0
NKG
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 4
SPL
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
SPL
3 - 1
PRI
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NKD
0 - 3
SPL
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zagora Unešić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
ZAG
5 - 1
PRI
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NKG
0 - 1
ZAG
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
ZAG
1 - 2
DZG
5%
12%
84%
|
37 | 85 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HVB
3 - 3
ZAG
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
ZAG
1 - 1
GOS
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |