Croatia Third Division Round 16

Split vs Zagora Unešić analysis

Split Zagora Unešić
51 ELO 38
-3.7% Tilt 5.6%
20845º General ELO ranking 23582º
95º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
72.3%
Split
17.7%
Draw
10%
Zagora Unešić

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
Split
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
10%
Win probability
Zagora Unešić
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Split
-4%
+19%
Zagora Unešić

ELO progression

Split
Zagora Unešić
Primorac Stobrec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Split
Split
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2008
HJK
Jadran KS
2 - 2
Split
SPL
27%
25%
48%
51 41 10 0
11 Nov. 2008
SPL
Split
6 - 0
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
79%
15%
6%
51 25 26 0
08 Nov. 2008
VAL
Val Kaštel Stari
0 - 4
Split
SPL
14%
21%
65%
51 23 28 0
30 Oct. 2008
SPL
Split
3 - 1
Primorac Stobrec
PRI
75%
17%
9%
51 34 17 0
25 Oct. 2008
NKD
NK Dugopolje
0 - 3
Split
SPL
40%
25%
35%
50 47 3 +1

Matches

Zagora Unešić
Zagora Unešić
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2008
ZAG
Zagora Unešić
5 - 1
Primorac Stobrec
PRI
54%
23%
24%
37 35 2 0
15 Nov. 2008
NKG
Kaštel Gomilica
0 - 1
Zagora Unešić
ZAG
30%
25%
46%
37 25 12 0
12 Nov. 2008
ZAG
Zagora Unešić
1 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
5%
12%
84%
37 85 48 0
08 Nov. 2008
HVB
Velebit Benkovac
3 - 3
Zagora Unešić
ZAG
47%
25%
29%
37 36 1 0
03 Nov. 2008
ZAG
Zagora Unešić
1 - 1
GOŠK DBK
GOS
37%
26%
37%
37 44 7 0