Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
SPL
2 - 2
IST
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
ZAD
1 - 1
SPL
29%
28%
44%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
HKS
2 - 1
SPL
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
LOK
1 - 1
SPL
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 2
ZAG
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ZAD
3 - 1
OSI
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
ZAD
1 - 1
SPL
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ZAD
2 - 5
LOK
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SLA
4 - 0
ZAD
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ZAD
0 - 1
RIJ
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |