Split vs Neretva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MAK
0 - 0
SPL
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SPL
1 - 0
HRV
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
OMI
1 - 2
SPL
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SPL
1 - 0
ZAG
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HJK
2 - 2
SPL
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NER
2 - 1
HRV
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ZAG
1 - 0
NER
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
NKG
2 - 1
NER
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
NER
1 - 0
PRI
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HVB
3 - 1
NER
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |