Split vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OSI
3 - 2
SPL
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
DZG
0 - 1
SPL
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SLA
2 - 0
SPL
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 1
HNK
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
SPL
0 - 3
DZG
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LUK
0 - 1
ZAG
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LUK
1 - 1
RIJ
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ZAD
1 - 0
LUK
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HNS
1 - 1
LUK
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LUK
2 - 2
LOK
41%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |