Spjelkavik vs Melhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+124%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
7º
3º
46
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 64 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 59 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 51 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 50 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 50 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 39 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 37 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 34 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 30 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 29 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 13 |
12º
|
43% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 11 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 11 |
14º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 65% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spjelkavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
TIL
1 - 4
SPJ
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
VFC
1 - 1
SPJ
43%
21%
36%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SPJ
1 - 1
KVI
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KBK
0 - 5
SPJ
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
SPJ
2 - 0
BYA
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Melhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
MEL
2 - 1
RAN
75%
15%
11%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BYA
1 - 1
MEL
38%
23%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 1
VFC
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MOL
1 - 3
MEL
33%
22%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
MEL
7 - 0
KBK
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |