Lega Primavera U19 Round 12

Spezia U19 vs Parma U19 analysis

Spezia U19 Parma U19
35 ELO 31
-6.4% Tilt 9.3%
8915º General ELO ranking 5881º
325º Country ELO ranking 210º
ELO win probability
52.8%
Spezia U19
22.5%
Draw
24.7%
Parma U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
Spezia U19
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.7%
Win probability
Parma U19
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spezia U19
-53%
-18%
Parma U19

ELO progression

Spezia U19
Parma U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spezia U19
Spezia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2012
CAG
Cagliari U19
1 - 3
Spezia U19
SPE
45%
23%
32%
33 33 0 0
10 Nov. 2012
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 1
Genoa U19
GEN
28%
24%
49%
33 43 10 0
03 Nov. 2012
PRO
Pro Vercelli U19
4 - 0
Spezia U19
SPE
22%
22%
57%
36 24 12 -3
27 Oct. 2012
SAM
Sampdoria U19
1 - 2
Spezia U19
SPE
47%
23%
31%
35 35 0 +1
20 Oct. 2012
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 0
Livorno U19
LIV
48%
23%
30%
34 33 1 +1

Matches

Parma U19
Parma U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2012
JUV
Juventus U19
2 - 0
Parma U19
PAR
75%
15%
10%
33 44 11 0
17 Nov. 2012
PAR
Parma U19
1 - 0
Torino U19
TOR
22%
26%
52%
30 44 14 +3
10 Nov. 2012
LIV
Livorno U19
3 - 1
Parma U19
PAR
43%
25%
32%
31 31 0 -1
03 Nov. 2012
PAR
Parma U19
1 - 1
Sampdoria U19
SAM
40%
26%
34%
31 34 3 0
27 Oct. 2012
GRO
Grosseto U19
0 - 1
Parma U19
PAR
15%
21%
64%
31 18 13 0