Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SVA
0 - 3
CHE
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SUV
1 - 2
SVA
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SVA
1 - 2
SVE
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HIT
2 - 1
SVA
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
VER
3 - 0
SVA
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 0
LOR
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
DOB
47%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
KUB
0 - 0
LOR
9%
18%
73%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 1
BOT
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 0
LOR
8%
17%
76%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | 0 |