Spartak Varna vs Chavdar Etropole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
STR
0 - 2
SVA
28%
24%
49%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
3 - 1
SVA
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SVA
2 - 2
LSO
16%
27%
57%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SSO
2 - 2
SVA
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVA
0 - 0
CVA
18%
28%
55%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Chavdar Etropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
6 - 0
PIR
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
OFK
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 3
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 2
CHA
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
SLI
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |