Spartak Tambov vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
14º
7º
21
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 68 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 63 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 36 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 30 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKO
0 - 5
SPA
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 1
DIN
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 1
SPA
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAK
1 - 0
SPA
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ORE
0 - 2
ROM
48%
21%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ZVE
3 - 2
ORE
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 0
FDV
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
ORE
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ORE
4 - 0
FKO
61%
20%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |