Spartak Nalchik vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
NAL
3 - 1
ANG
78%
16%
7%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 2
NAL
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
NAL
0 - 0
UFA
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAL
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
NAL
0 - 0
KHI
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
TOR
4 - 2
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
ROT
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 3
MOR
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
VLA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |