Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-4
Spartak Myjava vs Admira Wacker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Myjava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
1 - 1
SMY
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
SMY
2 - 0
ZLI
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
PGL
4 - 3
SMY
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
SEN
1 - 1
SMY
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SMY
1 - 0
RUZ
52%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
1 - 1
SMY
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
1 - 0
TER
39%
28%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
3 - 0
KAP
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
2 - 1
WIE
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
2 - 1
ČUK
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |