Jong Sparta vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
IJS
1 - 1
SPA
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 3
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 0
SPA
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 2
ACH
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
DED
1 - 0
SPA
75%
15%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LIE
3 - 2
HHC
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
KAT
3 - 2
LIE
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LIE
2 - 1
RIJ
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LIE
0 - 3
IJS
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 4
LIE
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |