Sparta Sarpsborg vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
HON
3 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 2
HOD
60%
21%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
LOV
0 - 0
SPA
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
HAU
0 - 1
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SPA
2 - 0
MOS
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
FOL
1 - 3
MOS
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SOG
2 - 2
FOL
66%
19%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FOL
3 - 3
ELP
18%
23%
58%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 1
FOL
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
FOL
3 - 2
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |