Eredivisie Round 18

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II analysis

Sparta Rotterdam Willem II
72 ELO 66
9.4% Tilt 2.9%
197º General ELO ranking 378º
10º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
62.8%
Sparta Rotterdam
20.1%
Draw
17.1%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
Sparta Rotterdam
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.1%
Win probability
Willem II
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sparta Rotterdam
+6%
-23%
Willem II

ELO progression

Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 1989
BOS
Den Bosch
2 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
47%
27%
27%
72 72 0 0
21 Dec. 1988
FEY
Feyenoord
3 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
78%
14%
8%
73 80 7 -1
17 Dec. 1988
VVV
VVV Venlo
0 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
53%
25%
23%
72 72 0 +1
11 Dec. 1988
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
3 - 0
FC Volendam
VOL
63%
21%
16%
71 69 2 +1
27 Nov. 1988
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
MVV Maastricht
MVV
69%
19%
12%
71 60 11 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 1989
WIL
Willem II
4 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
54%
23%
23%
65 65 0 0
18 Dec. 1988
WIL
Willem II
2 - 5
Ajax
AJA
19%
23%
58%
66 87 21 -1
10 Dec. 1988
BVV
SC Veendam
1 - 1
Willem II
WIL
46%
26%
28%
66 63 3 0
03 Dec. 1988
WIL
Willem II
0 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
47%
26%
28%
66 75 9 0
26 Nov. 1988
WIL
Willem II
1 - 3
Den Bosch
BOS
54%
23%
23%
67 71 4 -1