Eredivisie Round 28

Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen analysis

Sparta Rotterdam NEC Nijmegen
81 ELO 74
-13.8% Tilt -11.5%
198º General ELO ranking 178º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.6%
Sparta Rotterdam
18.7%
Draw
16.7%
NEC Nijmegen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
Sparta Rotterdam
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.7%
Win probability
NEC Nijmegen
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sparta Rotterdam
+5%
+5%
NEC Nijmegen

ELO progression

Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 1968
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
4 - 0
Groningen
GRO
57%
24%
20%
81 76 5 0
10 Mar. 1968
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
4 - 1
Amsterdam FC DWS
DWS
53%
25%
23%
80 77 3 +1
03 Mar. 1968
XER
Xerxes
1 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
38%
24%
39%
80 72 8 0
18 Feb. 1968
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
3 - 0
PSV
PSV
57%
23%
20%
80 74 6 0
11 Feb. 1968
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
39%
23%
38%
80 71 9 0

Matches

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 1968
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
0 - 0
Xerxes
XER
60%
22%
18%
74 72 2 0
03 Mar. 1968
PSV
PSV
1 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
57%
22%
21%
75 74 1 -1
18 Feb. 1968
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
60%
22%
19%
75 72 3 0
11 Feb. 1968
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
44%
26%
30%
75 70 5 0
04 Feb. 1968
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 2
Sittardia
SIT
69%
18%
13%
75 63 12 0