UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 1-3
Sparta Praha vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 0
FEN
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 2
FCR
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
YOB
2 - 1
SPA
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
TRE
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
ESK
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
STB
2 - 1
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
STB
4 - 3
PAO
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
KRS
0 - 1
STB
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 3
STB
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 1
STB
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |