Sparta Praha vs Karviná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
4º
1º
25
2º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
DZG
3 - 1
SPA
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TEP
1 - 1
SPA
13%
21%
66%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 3
FCK
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
JAB
1 - 5
SPA
18%
23%
59%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 0
SPA
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 1
JAB
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
KAR
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
MBO
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SIG
3 - 1
KAR
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
KAR
4 - 1
ZLI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |