Sparta Petegem vs VW Hamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
13º
3º
4
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
4 | 55 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 52 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 50 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 48 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 47 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 43 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 40 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 40 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 34 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 19 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Petegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2025 |
WET
3 - 0
SPA
29%
24%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 3
SPO
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
MEC
0 - 3
SPA
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 2
TEM
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 2
ACH
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VW Hamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2025 |
VWH
0 - 1
RCL
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2025 |
OUD
0 - 4
VWH
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
VWH
1 - 1
WES
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
VWH
0 - 1
KSC
61%
21%
19%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
VWH
0 - 0
RAC
28%
23%
50%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |