SPAL vs Virtus Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
SPA
23%
26%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
SPA
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CUN
1 - 1
SPA
37%
28%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 0
RIM
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
USA
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
REN
1 - 1
VIR
65%
21%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
SAS
25%
26%
50%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RIM
0 - 0
VIR
53%
25%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
DEL
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |