SPAL vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPA
68%
22%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 1
GEN
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
SPA
46%
32%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 2
NOC
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
SPA
54%
29%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 2
BOL
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
SSS
3 - 0
NOC
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
PES
38%
33%
29%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSS
45%
32%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |