SPAL vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
SPA
3 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
ACM
3 - 1
SPA
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 0
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
FIO
3 - 1
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
SSS
2 - 1
REG
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
CAG
1 - 1
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
FCC
1 - 1
SSS
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |