SPAL vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
MAN
2 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 2
ROM
34%
27%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 0
TOR
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPA
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
PAD
3 - 2
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ACM
4 - 2
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ACM
1 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ACM
4 - 0
PAD
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
JUV
2 - 4
ACM
60%
20%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |