SPAL vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
CAT
3 - 0
SPA
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
UDI
0 - 1
SPA
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
REN
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
REG
0 - 2
SPA
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
PIS
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 3
FIO
8%
20%
72%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
USF
2 - 1
ASL
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASL
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 3
REG
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
ASL
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |