SPAL vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 0
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 3
ATL
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
3 - 1
FER
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CES
2 - 3
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 0
VER
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 3
LAZ
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 2
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
PAD
2 - 4
LAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
BOU
3 - 4
LAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |