SPAL vs Bassano Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPA
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 0
SAV
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PON
2 - 1
SPA
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 5
SPA
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
BV5
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BV5
0 - 0
FCS
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 2
BV5
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
BV5
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BV5
2 - 1
ASS
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |