SP Herrera vs San Bartolome analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDT
3 - 1
SPH
21%
21%
59%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPH
4 - 0
ZUR
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SPH
1 - 0
OLY
21%
21%
59%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 5
SPH
26%
22%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPH
4 - 0
FMO
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Bartolome
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SBA
2 - 0
VAL
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
SBA
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ELA
1 - 0
SBA
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
SBA
82%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SBA
2 - 3
LHA
33%
21%
46%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |