SP Guardes vs Progresista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
60.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Guardes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 4
GUA
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
JUV
13%
16%
72%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 5
SAN
37%
23%
40%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MOA
5 - 1
GUA
78%
14%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
TOM
58%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MIG
1 - 0
PRO
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 4
PRO
55%
19%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 0
OLI
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 1
OIE
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |