SP Falcons vs FC Deren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
7º
4º
54
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
TBF
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
KHC
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BCH
1 - 1
SPF
9%
13%
78%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 0
ERC
43%
21%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KHA
1 - 7
SPF
12%
15%
74%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
KHC
74%
15%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BCH
0 - 9
DER
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ERC
2 - 3
DER
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DER
10 - 0
KHA
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KHO
1 - 1
DER
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |