Sozopol vs Chernomorec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sozopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
STA
3 - 0
SOZ
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SOZ
1 - 0
LEV
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SOZ
5 - 1
TUN
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BGA
0 - 0
SOZ
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
SOZ
1 - 1
BRE
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CHN
5 - 0
TUN
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BGA
2 - 0
CHN
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CHN
4 - 0
BRE
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TUY
3 - 1
CHN
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
CHN
6 - 1
FKH
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |