Sovicese vs Vimercatese Oreno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sovicese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SOV
1 - 2
ARC
11%
19%
70%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 1
SOV
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SOV
1 - 1
CIS
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SOV
0 - 3
NOV
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 1
SOV
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vimercatese Oreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 4
LIS
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
0 - 1
NOV
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 0
VIM
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 2
COL
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 0
DOM
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |