Souths United vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Souths United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 5
TAR
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
ROC
12 - 0
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 3
RED
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WOL
5 - 1
UNI
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 5
BRI
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
NPI
1 - 2
UNI
45%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
TAR
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 0
UNI
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 4
ROC
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
EAS
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |