Southport vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
ALD
31%
26%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 0
SOU
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KID
0 - 1
SOU
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
CHE
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
GUL
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
5 - 0
GUI
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 0
CHE
31%
26%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 1
CHE
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAV
3 - 3
CHE
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |